综放高瓦斯矿井煤层瓦斯涌出量综合预测

为了成功预测竹林山煤矿综放高瓦斯矿井大采高工作面煤层瓦斯涌出量,以主采3号煤层为主要研究对象,针对3号煤层以往开采情况,通过布设测点测量其煤层瓦斯含量和了解相邻矿井瓦斯含量,采用分源预测法、回归法及统计法等预测方法得到了3号煤层瓦斯含量的分布规律,并绘制了3号煤层的瓦斯含量等值线图。对矿井不同生产时期的瓦斯含量进行预测,得到了生产前期、中期及后期采区的最大绝对瓦斯涌出量和最大相对瓦斯涌出量,说明了竹林山煤矿各个时期均属于高瓦斯矿井。     

Power Input Prediction in Agitated Gas‐Liquid Contactors with Non‐coalescent Batch

Volumetric mass transfer coefficients, k_La, just as power input are considered as essential parameters for mechanically agitated gas‐liquid contactors in relation to their optimization and design. The knowledge of power input is crucial for the prediction of other mass transfer characteristics. A power input correlation is created for the industrial design of the process with a non‐coalescent batch that would be appropriate for a broad range of operational conditions. The recommended resulting correlation is able to predict the power input for impellers in industrial‐scale design for a significant scope of operational conditions.     

循环荷载作用下钢桥面铺装疲劳损伤失效行为研究

针对钢桥面铺装工程中普遍采用的改性沥青(Stone Matrix Asphalt,SMA)、浇筑式沥青(Guss asphalt,GA)、环氧沥青(Epoxy asphalt,EP)混合料双层铺装结构,进行了循环车载作用下钢桥面与沥青混凝土铺装疲劳损伤特性理论分析与试验研究。基于疲劳损伤度,研究了钢桥面铺装疲劳损伤失效行为和疲劳开裂过程中损伤场、应力和应变场动态演变机制,推导出疲劳失效时的损伤场、应力和应变场计算表达式,并给出钢桥面铺装疲劳寿命理论公式。以三座钢箱梁桥桥面铺装(润扬长江大桥2005,南京长江三桥2005,苏通大桥2008)为例,对不同铺装结构组合方案下的复合梁进行疲劳试验分析和使用寿命理论预测。实例研究结果表明,钢桥面铺装疲劳损伤失效行为预估模型合理可行;相较于改性沥青、浇筑式沥青,环氧沥青混合料具有较强高的强度低变形能力,更适合于大跨径钢桥面铺装抗疲劳的设计要求;由环氧沥青混合料组合而成的“双层环氧沥青混凝土”和“浇注式沥青混凝土(下层)+环氧沥青混凝土(上层)”的抗疲劳性能优于其它沥青混合料铺装结构组合方案,同等厚度组合情况下疲劳使用寿命可延长1倍~2倍以上;“双层环氧沥青混凝土”已应用于润扬长江大桥、南京长江三桥和苏通长江大桥钢桥面工程,并已成功运行10年以上,其跟踪观测结果良好。     

A novel multi-objective optimization method: Input values effect on responses (IVER)

In this study, a novel multi-objective optimization method based on the best effect of unique input (independent variable) values on responses (dependent variables) was proposed. The proposed method was compared with optimization using Derringer & Suich function that is still the most used. The comparison was made using the response values measured in real experiments and available in the literature. The advantages of the proposed method such as not needing the polynomial model aiming to predict the response values, no parameter selection problem, being able to offer optimum range instead of single optimum value, being suitable for use with existing experimental designs and being simple and interpretable were demonstrated as a result of comparison. It was also suggested how the proposed method will be effective according to experimental designs, and application for the users' application was presented.     

煤系地层致密砂岩气甜点区地震逐级预测——以鄂尔多斯盆地东南缘下二叠统山西组2~3亚段为例

鄂尔多斯盆地东南部下二叠统山西组2~3亚段(以下简称山2~3亚段)为该盆地重要的天然气勘探目的层,但该亚段储层薄、厚度变化快、非均质性强,储层预测和勘探目标优选难度大。为了准确预测该亚段煤系地层致密砂岩气甜点区、提高天然气勘探成功率,针对该套储层的特征和预测难点,提出了90°相移技术识别河道外形、模型约束波阻抗反演刻画砂体厚度和子波衰减梯度属性识别含气砂体的地震逐级预测技术。研究结果表明:①山2~3亚段上覆5号煤地震强反射层,下伏储层地震反射能量弱,加之为稀疏二维地震测网、井控程度低,致使致密砂岩气甜点区预测难度大;②所提出的技术方法通过地震逐级预测约束,可以有效地刻画河道砂体分布并识别有效含气储层,提高了对勘探开发目标预测的精度;③基于该技术方法指导部署的勘探开发目标实钻效果好,地震预测结果横向分辨率高,真实地反映了河道及河道砂体的变化特征。结论认为,采用该方法可以有效地解决二维地震勘探区煤系地层强非均质性、薄储层致密砂岩气甜点区预测的地质难题。     

基于使用可靠性区域粒度的产品保修期优化决策

针对已有产品保修期设计多局限于固有可靠性,未考虑其使用可靠性与区域差异的关联性问题,提出一种基于使用可靠性区域粒度的保修期优化决策模型。首先根据使用可靠性区域粒度划分和售后故障数据构建使用可靠性预测模型,获得各区域的使用可靠性估计;进而建立综合考虑使用可靠性区域差异、保修成本和价格的保修期优化决策模型,并推导出该模型下的最优解。最后,将模型应用于空调产品的使用可靠性评估和保修期优化决策,并与传统做法进行对比,验证了模型的有效性和适用性。结果表明,从使用可靠性区域粒度的视角,可以适度延长保修期以实现利润最大化,且灵敏性分析定量揭示了模型参数对保修期、价格和利润的影响规律。     

Integration of modern computational chemistry and ASPEN PLUS for chemical process design

Thermodynamic properties and fluid phase equilibria are crucial for the design and development of a chemical process. However, such data may not always be available, particularly for fine or specialty chemicals. In this work, we evaluate the reliability of using modern computational chemistry combined with recently developed predictive thermodynamic models to provide all the thermodynamic properties required in process design with ASPEN PLUS. Specifically, the G3 method is used for the ideal gas heat capacities and properties of formation, and the PR+COSMOSAC equation of state and COSMO-SAC activity coefficient model are utilized for the properties and phase behaviors of pure and mixture fluids. These methods are chosen because they do not require any species-dependent parameters and can, in principle, be applied to any chemical species. For a set of 972 chemicals, it is found that most properties can be predicted with a satisfactory accuracy (less than 10%: critical temperature [5%], critical pressure [10%], critical volume [5%], constant pressure ideal gas heat capacity [5%], and heat of vaporization [10%], except for the acentric factor [33%] and vapor pressure [73%]). Furthermore, the predicted results show little bias suggesting that these theoretically based methods are reliable for new chemicals for which experimental data are not yet available. Our analyses show that better accuracy in the prediction of vapor pressure and formation enthalpy and free energy is necessary for the design of chemical processes without relying on any experimental input. Nonetheless, these methods often provide reliable relative property values (e.g., relative value of normal boiling temperature can be predicted with 94% accuracy), making it possible to screen for new chemicals for improving existing processes.     

A mechanism informed neural network for predicting machining deformation of annular parts

Controlling machining deformation of annular parts is crucial for ensuring the performance of high value products and equipment. For example, during manufacturing of critical parts in aircrafts and spacecrafts, accurate prediction of machining deformation is the basis for guiding the formulation of deformation control strategies. However, due to the complexity of the machining deformation of annular parts, existing methods still have limitations in accurate prediction. To this end, this paper proposes a mechanism informed neural network (MINN) to predict machining deformation of annular parts. MINN is realized by establishing the dual sub-networks structure and using enhanced loss functions with the consideration of the deformation mechanism model characteristics of annular parts. The deformation was decomposed into the axisymmetric portion and the non-axisymmetric portion according to the deformation superposition principle, and modeled separately based on the thin-shell theory and Fourier series. Experiment results showed that the proposed method could predict the machining deformation of annular parts more accurately and stably with a small amount of training data, compared with previous methods.     

一种基于双重ddPCR的肉制品中牛源性成分的定量分析方法

将低价肉类原料掺入高价肉制品是一种典型的肉类掺假方式，为准确鉴别牛肉及牛肉制品的真伪，建立一种基于双重微滴式数字聚合酶链式反应（droplet digital polymerase chain reaction，ddPCR）的牛源性成分定量分析方法。通过对14 种动物的Beta-actin单拷贝基因序列进行分析，设计牛源性特异性引物、探针与动物源性成分通用引物、探针并建立双重ddPCR体系，推导出牛源性成分质量与其特异性扩增拷贝数之间的计算公式，对牛源性成分进行定量检测该方法得到牛源性成分质量M牛（mg）与其特异性扩增拷贝数浓度C牛（copies/μL）之间的计算公式为M牛=0.033C牛＋2.37，对已知牛肉质量的混合肉样品与不同部位的牛肉样品进行检测，结果显示牛肉定量检测值与实际质量基本一致。同时拷贝数相对含量可辅助判断肉制品中是否存在非牛源性的其他动物源性成分掺假。对市售样品的检测发现，存在目标肉样含量不达标以及不同程度的动物源性成分等掺假现象，说明该检测方法可为牛肉制品掺假量化判定和混合源性产品分级鉴定提供技术支撑。